@Prof_Hindsight James Willoughby
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Happy Birthday to all horses. Even the total hounds
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Taylor 7, van Gerwen 4: fooled by randomness? http://t.co/5r4aveQx
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Last day on @Racing_UK today. Want to thank all 4 support over years. Will miss working w/ many good friends, esp Angus, Lucky, GC and Worm.
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Some of the analysis of Camelot's performance in the racing media is a reminder of why they don't want objective data provided by sectionals
10 Retweets
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James Willoughby's 6.1K followers are from 28 countries and 267 cities. Their majority is interested in Racing, Horses, Horse Racing, Sports. Check them out by clicking the blue percentages.Audience Demographics
Plain tweets
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The mathematical challenge is the discounting or lagging of prior information at a suitable, team-specific rate. This is a complex task
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...and static models of expected performance fail to capture signal (+ve or -ve) of recent information vital to winning at sports betting
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...regression-style analysis which depends on all teams behaving similarly is as flawed as a similar approach to modeling human behaviour
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Mallios precepts include: sports betting markets become inefficient immediately after so-named gambling or statistical shocks...
Insights
James Willoughby shares 1 links a week, mostly from thefiguresneverlie.blogspot.co.uk, www.edunlop.com, www.racinguk.com, www.theage.com.au, uk.news.yahoo.com, www.ownerbreeder.co.uk,
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NFL math model - results for 2012. Happy New Year and never forget: keep the faith that The Figures Never Lie!
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Very good, pithy summary of the demerits of collateral form by The Captain on the old @Racing_UK site
Insights
82% of James Willoughby's tweets are replies. This means 51 replies a week, mostly to @mark_a_ellison (96) and @jamesaknight (85).
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Retweets
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RT @Timeform1948: Head of Research, Simon Rowlands (@Rowleyfile), reflects on the World Throughbred Rankings 'recalibration' > http:/ ...
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RT @ewilmott: @Prof_Hindsight Good stuff, don't forget the mighty @MediceanMan is there this year. Fingers crossed
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RT @Racing_UK: We've also got James Willoughby's seven steps to improve coverage of our great sport here: http://t.co/yQJP16Cm
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RT @HughRacing: many thanks to all those who left kind comments on here about our programme yesterday
Mentions
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Analyzing racing on the TV with the old @TrakusRacing sectionals is so much easier. No guessing needed. If only it was like this in Britain
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Presentation by @rowleyfile on ratings = 140, presentation by BHA = 106$. Exercise in playing with numbers not good enough in modern world
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Delighted to say will be doing 11th Dubai Carnival for @Racing_UK. Chatting about this and return of Gary Stevens live at around midday
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..and touching to be helped out by the usual contributors, like @formbet and @proform_racing and others. It's the greatest game in the world
